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Home NFL AFC

Riley Ferguson and projecting NFL talent

Parker Hurley by Parker Hurley
January 28, 2018
in AFC, AFC North, NFL Draft, Opinion, Pittsburgh Steelers
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One of the hardest things to do in sports is separate coach and scheme from player talent. It is something that is hard to see actual evidence of, as most of the work in this area is done behind closed doors. This is why it is so hard to project trades, free agents and draft selections.

When projecting NFL talent for the NFL draft, scheme, and talent around each player has to be separated completely. On top of that, the hash marks make the strong side of the field wider, making it easier to isolate matchups. The open field combined with a more spread out pool of talent makes speed a much more valuable weapon in this college than the NFL. Thus, good coaching can make any old fast guy an elite college football player.

This adds into making it much tougher to evaluate quarterbacks. There are not 32 good quarterbacks in the world by the standards of the NFL. There is not going to be 120 good quarterbacks in the NCAA. Teams use the open field and speed advantages to give their quarterbacks simple reads and decisions to get their play makers the ball in plus advantages. This cannot happen as consistently in the NFL as it does in college.

That is why Riley Ferguson is a tough project coming into the NFL draft. Ferguson played in one of those offenses that catered to throwing a lot of passes, but taking the tough decision making and pressure of being a quarterback away. It is a college offense.

So, when trying to project Ferguson as a passer in the NFL plays where he stands in the pocket, makes reads, and handles pressure have to weighted because they come in a small sample size, but are the protectable traits.

Passes like the one below do not happen in the NFL. That play style was bread and butter for Memphis. The play action gets the edge linebacker to freeze just enough for Ferguson to roam outside. In the NFL, that linebacker hits Ferguson well before he throws that pass.

Even if he doesn’t there is almost no chance the receiver is going to have that much space when watching how the slot cornerback read that play. The linebacker got caught in traffic by play action and was late to getting over to defending the tight end, who motioned across the line. The cornerback, who is watching the play action in the back field notices this player instead of thinking that if the outside cornerback behind him took the slot receiver that he just passed off, no one has the outside receiver. In the NFL, the slot corner sees the quarterback running his way and shifts left to defend the receiver that would have been his duty anyway. Ferguson is not getting that respect against faster linebackers. Play action, the idea of a running quarterback, and the wide field allowing four routes to be run on that side make this play. That is scheme.

Arm Talent

Playing from the pocket Riley Ferguson does have some arm talent to try to build on. His wide receiver, Anthony Miller, and his ability to create separation is another wrinkle making it tough to evaluate Ferguson, but Ferguson delivers a deep strike about 50 yards down the field where only his receiver can get underneath it.

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Below, he shows off his ability to anticipate and put a ball on his receiver who is turning for it to land right in his hands for a touchdown. There was a bit of pressure in his face but he stood in and made the pass.

Decision making

Still, there are clear decision making issues when it comes to him playing from the pocket. His ability to handle pressure is not strong, and his ability to make the correct reads down the field and progress through receivers is not where it should be, mainly because of the offense he is in.

In the play below you can see he has no other plans with this ball at all. There are four guys there and there could have been eight. However, he is working from a clean pocket and has the ability to extend the play. This quick and forced nature of pulling the trigger will ensure him to never see the field at the next level.

Below is a third down incompletion with a short lead when trying to upset UCLA. Ferguson has his guy and he knows it. But, he is too quick to pull the trigger. From the first view, you can see the running back coming under the middle to clear out the linebacker he is throwing over.

Ferguson is dealing from a clean pocket and should have all of the time in the world. When the linebacker follows the running back, the receiver he is targeting will have all kinds of space over the middle. However, Ferguson jumps the gun, throws it behind his receiver to boot, likely due to the added difficulty of the linebacker, and the Tigers have to punt.

 

This is not to say that Ferguson cannot make the transition, but he will have to spend a lot of time during his first year learning to play from the pocket. Even at that point it will take preseason, and reps of some sort to see how he mechanically can transfer his game.

The arm talent gives you something to buy into, and it is a shame he wasn’t put in a position where his game would translate to the NFL.  Still, it statistically put him on a national radar and will have a team ready to invest some time in the project of Riley Ferguson.

– Parker Hurley is Pittsburgh Steelers team manager of Full Press Coverage. He covers the NFL. Like and follow on Follow @parkerhurley Follow @FPC_Steelers and Facebook.

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May 17, 2022

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  • Moose Lose Game 5, End Calder Cup Calibre Season
    by Jacob Stoller on May 17, 2022 at 8:50 pm

    After falling down 0-2 in the best-of-five second round, the Manitoba Moose won Games 3 & 4 to […]

  • Maple Leafs Can’t Make Reactionary Moves in Wake of Playoff Letdown
    by Adam Proteau on May 17, 2022 at 7:57 pm

    The anguish of the Maple Leafs’ Game 7 loss to Tampa Bay Saturday was still fresh as players and […]

  • NHL Hits Ratings Bonanza For Five Game 7s Over The Weekend
    by Jim Biringer on May 17, 2022 at 5:45 pm

    The Stanley Cup Playoffs saw five Game 7s take place over the weekend and these propelled the NHL […]

  • 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs Second Round Preview
    by Jim Biringer on May 17, 2022 at 10:10 am

    The second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs are set to begin Tuesday night and we look at […]

  • Stanley Cup Odds: Avalanche Remain Heavy Favorites Entering Second Round
    by Ian Glendon on May 16, 2022 at 11:35 pm

    Entering the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs, the odds still favor the Colorado Avalanche […]

More Hockey News

  • 5/16 - Celtics Advance; Jayson Tatum; Golden State; NBA Playoffs
    by Full Press Coverage on May 17, 2022 at 4:35 pm

    Ian and John react to the Celtics game seven win over the Bucks and Jayson […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49833358/adv7848941251.mp3
  • NFL Schedule Release Reaction (5/13)
    by Full Press Coverage on May 14, 2022 at 10:45 am

    Ian and John discuss the release of the NFL schedule.

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49787037/fpcradiolive_5_13_nflschedule.mp3
  • Tom Brady's New Broadcasting Deal (5/13)
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 9:45 pm

    Ian and John react to Tom Brady's post-retirement contract with Fox to […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49786949/fpcradio_5_13_bradyfox.mp3
  • Celtics, Bucks Game Six, NBA Playoffs, Joel Embiid and James Harden (5/13)
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 3:38 pm

    Ian and John discuss the Celtics and Bucks upcoming game six, Joel Embiid […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49786913/fpcradio_5_13_celticsnba.mp3

  • Crossbody of Work Episode 113: Wade Barrett
    by Evan Gomes on May 14, 2022 at 2:20 pm

    Welcome to Crossbody of Work, a show where we break down a wrestler’s career through five of […]

  • Stiff Competition sees AEW Dynamite Viewership Drop Again
    by Jim Biringer on May 12, 2022 at 8:13 pm

    It’s Thursday and you know what that means… ratings for Wednesday night AEW Dynamite are out. […]

  • Crossbody of Work Episode 112: Stan Hansen
    by Evan Gomes on May 7, 2022 at 2:22 pm

    Welcome to Crossbody of Work, a show where we break down a wrestler’s career through five of […]

  • Crossbody of Work Episode 111: Kurt Angle Part Three – Return & Retirement
    by Evan Gomes on April 30, 2022 at 3:04 pm

    Welcome to Crossbody of Work, a show where we break down a wrestler’s career through five of […]

  • AEW Dynamite Viewership Dips, Still Top Five On Cable
    by Jim Biringer on April 28, 2022 at 8:11 pm

    It’s Thursday and you know what that means… ratings for Wednesday night AEW Dynamite are out. […]

More Wrestling News

  • Section 1
  • Section 2
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Section 1

  • Ep 109: Hall of Fame Voter Ed Bouchette Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on May 12, 2022 at 6:28 pm

    Long time Steelers writer and current Hall of Fame voter, Ed Bouchette […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49776985/eyetest_ep109.mp3
  • Ep 108: Hall of Famer Bryant Young Returns To The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on May 6, 2022 at 1:45 am

    Pro Football Hall of Famer Bryant Young returns to the show to talk with […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49684364/eyetest_ep108.mp3
  • Ep 107: Pro Football HOF President Jim Porter Returns To The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on April 27, 2022 at 6:58 pm

    Clark and Ira are once again joined by the Pro Football Hall of Fame's […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49573230/eyetest_20220427_1213.mp3
  • Ep 106: Remembering Pat Tillman w/ Former Cardinals Coach Dave McGinnis
    by Full Press Coverage on April 21, 2022 at 12:43 pm

    Former Cardinals head coach Dave McGinnis joins Clark and Ira to remember […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49503417/eyetest_ep106.mp3
  • Ep 105: Who Are The Top 5 Quarterbacks of All Time?
    by Full Press Coverage on April 15, 2022 at 12:46 am

    Who is the most underrated quarterback of all time? The most overrated? […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49440179/eyetest_ep105.mp3
  • Ep 104: John McClain Joins The Show To Talk Retirement and Houston Sports
    by Full Press Coverage on April 8, 2022 at 2:50 am

    Former Texans beat reporter for the Houston Chronicle, John McClain, joins […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49361366/eyetest_ep104.mp3
  • Ep 103: Discussing The New NFL OT Rules With Upton Bell
    by Full Press Coverage on March 31, 2022 at 10:11 pm

    Former NFL executive Upton Bell joins Clark and Ian to discuss the latest […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49274896/20220331_1230_recording.mp3
  • Ep 102: Remembering John Clayton With Former Seahawks PR Director Gary Wright
    by Full Press Coverage on March 22, 2022 at 8:10 pm

    Former Seattle Seahawks PR Director Gary Wright joins Clark and Ira to […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49156327/eyetest_ep102.mp3

Section 2

  • Ep 109: Hall of Fame Voter Ed Bouchette Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on May 12, 2022 at 6:28 pm

    Long time Steelers writer and current Hall of Fame voter, Ed Bouchette […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49776985/eyetest_ep109.mp3
  • Ep 108: Hall of Famer Bryant Young Returns To The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on May 6, 2022 at 1:45 am

    Pro Football Hall of Famer Bryant Young returns to the show to talk with […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49684364/eyetest_ep108.mp3
  • Ep 107: Pro Football HOF President Jim Porter Returns To The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on April 27, 2022 at 6:58 pm

    Clark and Ira are once again joined by the Pro Football Hall of Fame's […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49573230/eyetest_20220427_1213.mp3
  • Ep 106: Remembering Pat Tillman w/ Former Cardinals Coach Dave McGinnis
    by Full Press Coverage on April 21, 2022 at 12:43 pm

    Former Cardinals head coach Dave McGinnis joins Clark and Ira to remember […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49503417/eyetest_ep106.mp3
  • Ep 105: Who Are The Top 5 Quarterbacks of All Time?
    by Full Press Coverage on April 15, 2022 at 12:46 am

    Who is the most underrated quarterback of all time? The most overrated? […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49440179/eyetest_ep105.mp3
  • Ep 104: John McClain Joins The Show To Talk Retirement and Houston Sports
    by Full Press Coverage on April 8, 2022 at 2:50 am

    Former Texans beat reporter for the Houston Chronicle, John McClain, joins […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49361366/eyetest_ep104.mp3
  • Ep 103: Discussing The New NFL OT Rules With Upton Bell
    by Full Press Coverage on March 31, 2022 at 10:11 pm

    Former NFL executive Upton Bell joins Clark and Ian to discuss the latest […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49274896/20220331_1230_recording.mp3
  • Ep 102: Remembering John Clayton With Former Seahawks PR Director Gary Wright
    by Full Press Coverage on March 22, 2022 at 8:10 pm

    Former Seattle Seahawks PR Director Gary Wright joins Clark and Ira to […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49156327/eyetest_ep102.mp3

Section

  • Ep 60: #KrejciForever and Raised Expectations
    by Full Press Coverage on May 4, 2021 at 9:23 pm

    Ian and Chris talk about the Bruins post trade deadline turnaround and […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://anchor.fm/s/cc094d0/podcast/play/32832621/https%3A%2F%2Fd3ctxlq1ktw2nl.cloudfront.net%2Fstaging%2F2021-4-4%2F5fff8870-3e65-c0ca-e920-87f009fd80b8.mp3
  • Ep 59: Bruins Swing Big At Trade Deadline
    by Full Press Coverage on April 12, 2021 at 9:48 pm

    Ian and Chris welcome in Mike Cratty to discuss the trade acquisitions of […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://anchor.fm/s/cc094d0/podcast/play/31287822/https%3A%2F%2Fd3ctxlq1ktw2nl.cloudfront.net%2Fstaging%2F2021-3-12%2Ff58714b8-6022-3934-eaa5-6290cfb68d8c.mp3
  • Ep 58: Chris' Trip To TD Garden, Bruins Trade Target Goes Elsewhere, Injuries, and the Capitals
    by Full Press Coverage on April 8, 2021 at 6:33 pm

    Ian and Chris discuss Blackey's return to the Garden, the Islanders trade […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://anchor.fm/s/cc094d0/podcast/play/30997504/https%3A%2F%2Fd3ctxlq1ktw2nl.cloudfront.net%2Fstaging%2F2021-3-8%2Ff5ad8b3a-4858-ae42-2228-24fde2fee0c2.mp3
  • Bruce There He Is - May 17, 2022
    by Full Press Coverage on May 17, 2022 at 7:00 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/6F48GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV8851583949.mp3?updated=1652813672
  • 5/16 - Celtics Advance; Jayson Tatum; Golden State; NBA Playoffs
    by Full Press Coverage on May 17, 2022 at 4:35 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV1634666572.mp3?updated=1652808138
  • Talkamania Episode 226
    by Talkamania on May 16, 2022 at 11:23 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49823237/talkamania_episode_226.mp3
  • The Pick and Roll NBA Podcast W/ Jet and Sap - EP 178 - Celtics and Mavericks Crush Their Opponents in Game 7's
    by Full Press Coverage on May 16, 2022 at 9:39 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49822458/pick_5_16.mp3
  • Ep. 37: Modern Problems Require Modern Solutions
    by Full Press Coverage on May 15, 2022 at 3:16 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV7854841891.mp3?updated=1652628084
  • Episode 47 Criss Partee discusses the disappearance of James Harden and the latest NBA Playoffs news
    by Full Press Coverage on May 15, 2022 at 4:10 am

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49800334/the_courtside_crossover_episode_47.mp3
  • Ep 113: Wade Barrett
    by Full Press Coverage on May 14, 2022 at 2:00 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV6354224897.mp3?updated=1652494513
  • Ep 130: Packers UDFA Talk
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 9:38 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV4299760385.mp3?updated=1652478250
  • 5/13 - NBA Playoffs, Tom Brady's New Deal, NFL Schedule Release
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 3:21 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV2510942998.mp3?updated=1652455924
  • Episode 95: It's Schedule Time!
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 12:16 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV3147592551.mp3?updated=1652455406
  • 5/16 - Celtics Advance; Jayson Tatum; Golden State; NBA Playoffs
    by Full Press Coverage on May 17, 2022 at 4:35 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49833358/adv7848941251.mp3
  • NFL Schedule Release Reaction (5/13)
    by Full Press Coverage on May 14, 2022 at 10:45 am

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49787037/fpcradiolive_5_13_nflschedule.mp3
  • Tom Brady's New Broadcasting Deal (5/13)
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 9:45 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49786949/fpcradio_5_13_bradyfox.mp3
  • Celtics, Bucks Game Six, NBA Playoffs, Joel Embiid and James Harden (5/13)
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 3:38 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49786913/fpcradio_5_13_celticsnba.mp3
  • 5/13 - NBA Playoffs, Tom Brady's New Deal, NFL Schedule Release
    by Full Press Coverage on May 13, 2022 at 3:21 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49787847/adv3909795266.mp3
  • 5/9 - NBA Playoffs; Officiating In Professional Sports
    by Full Press Coverage on May 9, 2022 at 5:46 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49731202/adv7303186962.mp3
  • Celtics Tie The Series Against Bucks
    by Full Press Coverage on May 6, 2022 at 1:52 am

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49684393/fpcradio_5_4_celtics.mp3
  • 5/4 - Horror Movies; Deandre Hopkins Suspension; Celtics Bounce Back
    by Full Press Coverage on May 5, 2022 at 5:03 am

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49671752/adv6956805475.mp3
  • Celtics/Bucks Game 1 Reaction (5/2)
    by Full Press Coverage on May 3, 2022 at 1:45 am

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49630718/fpcradio_5_2_seg2_celtics.mp3
  • 5/2 - Pt. 1 - NFL Draft Talk; Patriots Reaction
    by Full Press Coverage on May 2, 2022 at 9:38 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49630700/fpcradio_5_2_seg1_nfldraft.mp3

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