D'Onta Foreman's Fantasy Outlook for 2018 -

D’Onta Foreman was drafted in the third round of the 2018 draft and came into the regular season with high expectations. He was fresh off a Doak Walker caliber performance at the University of Texas, where he ran for 2,028 yards and 15 touchdowns.

After working his way up the roster throughout his rookie year, Foreman was finally able to meet those expectations Week 11 against the Arizona Cardinals. In this game, Foreman was able to run for 65 yards and two touchdowns, finally distancing himself from the incumbent starter Lamar Miller.

But sadly, Foreman would rupture his achilles tendon immediately after scoring his second touchdown, an injury that would cost him the rest of the season.

Foreman ruptured his achilles tendon after scoring his second touchdown in a Week 11 game against the Cardinals (Getty).

Luckily for Foreman, neither Lamar Miller or Alfred Blue were able to fully take control of the starting job in his absence. This leaves the starting job up for grabs, and could allow for Foreman to potentially start at where he left off Week 11 against the Cardinals.

All signs point to Foreman being ready for the regular season, although he may miss a significant portion of training camp. Despite potentially missing large amounts of training camp, Foreman told Houston Chronicle’s Aaron Wilson that:

“My training has been great. I’ve been putting in the work day in and day out trying to do the little things [trainers, doctors, strength and conditioning coaches] ask me to do. I believe and have been following it and believe when I come back, I’ll be just as good as before. It’s been progressing really well. I see my progress. This is something that I’ve been doing each and every day since the injury. It’s looking really good right now.”

Foreman was impressive during the 2017 preseason, rushing 16 times for 93 yards and a touchdown. He also caught four passes for 72 yards (AP).

Foreman’s optimism about his recovery points to a bounce back season in 2018, one that could thrust him into the starting role and fill the void that was left after Arian Foster’s retirement.

Originally, the Texans attempted to replace Foster by signing former Dolphins running back Lamar Miller to a four-year, 26 million dollar contract. But the front office soon realized that Miller wasn’t the guy to handle such a larger workload after his production fell off a cliff in 2017.

His 3.7 yards per rush and longest rush of 21 yards were both career-worsts and showed how he had lost his explosive edge. In addition, Pro Football Focus found that he ranked 47th out of 53 qualifiers in elusive rating. These declines occurred just as the Texans were handing him the largest workloads of his career.

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Rushing & Receiving Table
					Games		Rushing							Receiving
Year	Age	Tm	Pos	No.	G	GS	Rush	Yds	TD	Lng	Y/A	Y/G	A/G	Tgt	Rec	Yds	Y/R	TD	Lng	R/G	Y/G	Ctch%	YScm	RRTD	Fmb	AV
2012	21	MIA	fb	26	13	1	51	250	1	28	4.9	19.2	3.9	8	6	45	7.5	0	12	0.5	3.5	75.0%	295	1	0	2
2013	22	MIA	RB	26	16	15	177	709	2	49	4.0	44.3	11.1	35	26	170	6.5	0	22	1.6	10.6	74.3%	879	2	1	5
2014	23	MIA	RB	26	16	16	216	1099	8	97	5.1	68.7	13.5	52	38	275	7.2	1	20	2.4	17.2	73.1%	1374	9	3	11
2015	24	MIA	RB	26	16	16	194	872	8	85	4.5	54.5	12.1	57	47	397	8.4	2	54	2.9	24.8	82.5%	1269	10	1	7
2016	25	HOU	RB	26	14	14	268	1073	5	45	4.0	76.6	19.1	39	31	188	6.1	1	16	2.2	13.4	79.5%	1261	6	2	7
2017	26	HOU	RB	26	16	13	238	888	3	21	3.7	55.5	14.9	45	36	327	9.1	3	32	2.3	20.4	80.0%	1215	6	1	7
Career					91	75	1144	4891	27	97	4.3	53.7	12.6	236	184	1402	7.6	7	54	2.0	15.4		6293	34	8	39
4 yrs		MIA			61	48	638	2930	19	97	4.6	48.0	10.5	152	117	887	7.6	3	54	1.9	14.5		3817	22	5	25
2 yrs		HOU			30	27	506	1961	8	45	3.9	65.4	16.9	84	67	515	7.7	4	32	2.2	17.2		2476	12	3	14

Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table

Since Miller clearly can’t handle the larger workload, this leaves room for Foreman to at least be given a chunk of the carries or even take over the workhorse role entirely. These wide range of outcomes are why he is a breakout candidate for 2018.

With the Texans not adding any running backs besides players on the roster bubble like Troymaine Pope, Lavon Coleman, and Terry Swanson, the potential for Foreman to become the next Texans workhorse back is still there.

And Foreman has the talent to do it, as exhibited by his ten broken tackles in just 78 rushes and an average of 2.6 yards after contact. He also has the pedigree, receiving a whopping 323 carries his final season at the University of Texas.

Foreman’s Week 11 explosion was no fluke, and if everything plays out right, he could end up being a steal in fantasy drafts and a major contributor in 2018.

Foreman is a Texas native, rushing for 2,102 yards and 31 touchdowns his senior year at Texas City High School (Godofredo A. Vasquez, Houston Chronicle).

But despite his extremely high ceiling, Foreman’s floor is also very low. If he can’t seize the opportunity and receive significant carries, Foreman could end up alternating between double-digit and single-digit carry games like he did every week last season.

Even with the low floor, realize that this isn’t a boom-or-bust situation. Foreman won’t necessarily be the workhorse back or a player that rides the bench, he could also just steal a portion of the carries from Miller and provide FLEX production to fantasy rosters.

In sum, Foreman is a good bench running back that should be drafted in the middle rounds of fantasy drafts, a spot that he could easily outperform.