It’s Week 15! Any of you reading this are either in a position to win your leagues or are playing for some consolation prizes. Either way, the Titans offer some sneaky fantasy value this week against the Giants. Regardless, good luck and let’s go!
Mr. Inconsistency doesn’t offer an attractive fantasy matchup on paper. Being paired off against Janoris Jenkins certainly doesn’t invite must start status. Why is Davis such a good sleeper this week? Take a look under the hood.
Davis is the key target hog in this offense. While the offense isn’t exactly a pass heavy offense, a 26% target share is hard to sneeze at. Davis catches 56% of his targets on the road and Jenkins allows a catch on 70% of targets. Davis is a full five inches taller than Jenkins and is around 20 lbs heavier. Jenkins is certainly not afraid of physical play but Davis excels in contested catching.
When the offense is clicking, Davis and quarterback Marcus Mariota have a lethal connection. Davis has an average depth of target of 10.4 yards per target and leads the team in air yards at 990 yards. This game has an over/under of 43 points, so there are points to be scored. Personally, this game is setting up to be a sneaky shootout. Davis should have plenty of chances to capitalize on his size advantage. Davis makes a sneaky good flex play this week with a good red zone touchdown upside.
Speaking of Mariota and his connection with Davis, Mariota is a very good streaming quarterback option this week. In four of the last six games, Mariota averages 25.05 points per game. The offense as a whole has been clicking, outside of the Colts game. In fact in all four of those big Mariota games, he has thrown for at least 225 yards and two touchdowns. The Giants rank 19th against the pass, averaging 249 pass yards per game.
Mariota also offers a safe rushing floor. In five of the last six games Mariota has had at least 4 rush attempts and averages 25 rush yards per game. Mariota is a low end QB1 this week with dual threat touchdown upside. Depending on your team needs and options, Mariota is certainly worth considering.
Henry had the game of his life last week. Titan fans and coaches have been waiting for Henry to showcase his talents. He certainly answered the bell last week. This week, Henry is going up against the 22nd ranked rush defense that allows the 27th most fantasy points to running backs. Henry has been handed the keys to the rushing offense this week, and he absolutely deserves it.
Over the last four games, ignoring the outburst against the Jaguars, Henry has averaged 4.8 yards per carry. All he was missing was consistent volume. Many will point to the fact that before last week, Henry hadn’t rushed for over 58 yards all season. Henry’s usage had been very scattered, and he often was called upon to just plod up the middle.
Last week showcased exactly how dangerous Henry can be in this offense. When allowed to rush outside and build a head of steam, he is an absolute load to take down. At 6’3″ and 250 lbs most defensive players aren’t keen to get in his way. Henry is a mid-tier RB2 this week with obvious RB1 upside this week.