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Home MLB 30 in 30

30 in 30: Cincinnati Reds

Sam Turner by Sam Turner
March 8, 2020
in 30 in 30, Cincinnati Reds, Featured, MLB, MLB Featured, National League, NL Central
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The Reds were the only team in the NL Central that appeared interested in improving their club this offseason, as they made a series of significant adds while their rivals stood pat. The Reds’ haste to reach contention makes perfect sense in a very winnable NL Central, as each of the Cubs, Cardinals, and Brewers have a plethora of question marks heading into 2020; the Pirates will in all likelihood be awful as well.

The most intriguing facet of this Reds team is their loaded rotation, which will be one of the very best in baseball. The group includes Sonny Gray, who the Reds were brilliant to buy-low on after his miserable stint with the New York Yankees. Cincinnati traded for Gray prior to last season, and gave up minimal prospect capital in doing so; suffice to say, the Reds were rewarded handsomely for making the deal. Gray took full advantage of his fresh start with the Reds in 2019, as he returned to his previous all-star form by accumulating 4.4 fWAR. Gray also struck out a career-best 205 batters last season(10.52 strikeouts per nine innings), and recorded a 2.87 ERA (fifth-best among qualified NL starters), and a 3.42 FIP. The righty features a nasty mix of sliders, curveballs, and fastballs, and is able to put away hitters with each pitch interchangeably; Baseball Savant cites that Gray’s fastball and curveball spin rates were elite in 2019, as they were in the 92nd and 97th percentile of qualified MLB starters, respectively.

A member of the Reds’ rotation employs arguably the single most unhittable pitch in the game today, and remarkably enough, it is not the dominant Sonny Gray. This distinction belongs to Luis Castillo, who boasts a changeup that is truly devastating. Castillo has, however, struggled with control issues at times during his young career; this was evident last year, as he walked 3.73 batters per nine innings, which was the fifth highest mark in MLB among qualified starting pitchers. Yet, Castillo was still able to amass 226 strikeouts in 2019 – easily a career-high. The Reds’ righthander also has a lively high-nineties fastball and an excellent slider that compliment his changeup, which he threw 33% of the time – the most of any MLB pitcher in 2019 (minimum 3000 pitches).

The Reds’ three-headed rotation monster is completed by Trevor Bauer, who was acquired by Cincinnati at the 2019 trade deadline. Bauer’s best season came in 2018 for the Cleveland Indians, as he was the frontrunner for the AL Cy Young Award before he went down with an injury. During the ‘18 campaign, Bauer totalled 5.8 fWAR in just 27 starts; he struck out 11.34 batters per nine innings and posted a 2.21 ERA (2.44 FIP). The famously outspoken Bauer was not as effective in ‘19, as his ERA jumped to 4.48 (4.34 FIP), but his pure stuff remains some of the best in baseball – which makes Bauer a prime bounceback candidate in 2020.

Anthony DeSclafani and Wade Miley will round out the Reds rotation. Both are solid starting pitchers who are more than capable of performing at a back-of-the-rotation level, in order to ensure that Cincinnati’s one-through-five is one of the strongest in baseball.

The Reds’ bullpen is by no means short of talent, but the group’s reliability heading into this season is somewhat in doubt. Closer Raisel Iglesias was at one point regarded as one of the best in the game, but an up-and-down 2019 campaign significantly hindered the Reds. Despite Iglesias’ career-high twelve losses and six blown saves, his FIP in ‘19 was actually lower (3.92) than it was in ‘18 (4.23), even though his ERA increased from 2.38 to 4.16 between the two seasons. Iglesias should be able to hold down the Reds’ bullpen – assuming that his 2019 was, in fact, a fluke.

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The performance of the athletic Michael Lorenzen, who has also seen time in the outfield and at the plate, will also be key to the success of this Reds ‘pen, as will that of newcomer Pedro Strop and familiar face Amir Garrett.

The offensive attack of the Cincinnati Reds was at times problematic for the club last season due to the group’s injury troubles and inconsistencies. The lineup appears to be much deeper and more powerful as the 2020 regular season approaches, as the Reds were able to add an influx of talent to the position-player core this offseason, including the Japanese free-agent centerfielder Shogo Akiyama. 

Cincinnati was also able to poach two potent bats from division rivals with the signings of infielder Mike Moustakas and outfielder Nick Castellanos; each should slot right into the middle of the Reds’ order. Moustakas, the former Milwaukee Brewer, has been one of the most consistent power hitters in baseball over the last few seasons, as he has homered at least 28 times in each of the last three campaigns. Whether or not the man known as “Moose” will be able to play adequate defense as an everyday second basemen is yet to be seen, but Moustakas will certainly be a fearsome presence offensively.

Speaking of questionable defense, Nick Castellanos is similar to Moustakas in that his bat makes up for a lack of defensive ability. After he was traded to the Chicago Cubs at the deadline last season, Castellanos absolutely raked – to the tune of a 1.002 OPS across 51 games played. His bat should play exceptionally well into the bandbox that is Great American Ballpark; Castellanos’ noted opposite field prowess will help him fit into the Reds’ offense like a glove.

Eugenio Suárez has established himself as one of the top third basemen in MLB, as his 49 homers in 2019 were the most ever in a single season for an NL third-basemen. Suárez has increased his OPS in each of the last four campaigns, his .728 mark in 2016 rising to .930 last season. Accompanying Votto near the top of the Reds’ lineup will be the great Joey Votto, whose 2019 was the worst of his career. The future hall-of-famer, who has led the National League in on-base percentage seven times, will be a pivotal table-setter for the home run threats of this Reds’ lineup.

While a Major League club that “wins the offseason” oftentimes does not end up translating this momentum into actual, on-the-field success, it seems that the Cincinnati Reds are poised to take the leap in 2020, as they seek their first postseason berth since 2013.

Projected Record:

89-73 (National League Wild Card Berth)

Projected Divisional Finish (NL Central):

2nd

Projected Opening Day Lineup and Rotation (Fangraphs 2020 fWAR Projections for each player in parentheses):

Lineup

Shogo Akiyama CF (1.6)

Nick Castellanos RF (1.9)

Joey Votto 1B (2.0)

Eugenio Suárez 3B (3.7)

Mike Moustakas 2B (2.3)

Freddy Galvis SS (0.9)

Jesse Winker LF (1.2)

Tucker Barnhart C (1.9)

Pitcher

Rotation

Sonny Gray (3.1)

Luis Castillo (3.6)

Trevor Bauer (4.3)

Anthony DeSclafani (1.7)

Wade Miley (1.1)

 

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    by Full Press Coverage on June 10, 2022 at 5:50 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50158740/fpcradio_6_10_celticswarriors.mp3
  • 6/10 - Jason Alexander; Tom Brady; Celtics/Warriors
    by Full Press Coverage on June 10, 2022 at 2:24 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50155044/adv9832981453.mp3
  • 6/6 - Josh Allen Overhyped? Celtics/Warriors Game Two
    by Full Press Coverage on June 6, 2022 at 2:46 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50086971/adv2030888829.mp3
  • 6/3 - Celtics Take Game One From Golden State
    by Full Press Coverage on June 3, 2022 at 10:46 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50056013/adv1632853896.mp3

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  • Episode 120: Sting Part Two – Enter The Crow
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  • Section 1
  • Section 2
  • Section
  • Section
  • Section
  • Section

Section 1

  • Ep 116: Former Buccaneers Head Coach Bruce Arians Joins The Show
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    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50399545/eyetest_ep116.mp3
  • Ep 115: Gil Brandt Joins The Show To Remember Cowboys RB Don Perkins
    by Full Press Coverage on June 22, 2022 at 3:46 pm

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    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50294360/eyetest_ep115.mp3
  • Ep 114: Former Bengals QB Ken Anderson Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on June 15, 2022 at 5:12 pm

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    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50215375/eyetest_ep114.mp3
  • Ep 113: HOF Voter Barry Wilner Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on June 10, 2022 at 6:04 pm

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    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50158798/eyetest_ep113.mp3
  • Ep 112: Colts Owner Jim Irsay Joins To Talk "The Jim Irsay Collection"
    by Full Press Coverage on May 31, 2022 at 3:05 pm

    Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay returns to the show to talk with Calrk […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49993148/eyetest_ep112.mp3
  • Ep 111: Joe Horrigan Returns To Remember Vietnam Veteran And Former Bills OT Bob Kalsu
    by Full Press Coverage on May 25, 2022 at 9:25 pm

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    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49945420/eyetest_ep111.mp3
  • Ep 110: New Playoff Teams In 2022; Best Matchups On NFL Scehdule
    by Full Press Coverage on May 20, 2022 at 3:42 am

    Clark, Ira, and Ian give their four teams that didn't make the NFL […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49869045/eyetest_20220519_1221.mp3
  • Ep 109: Hall of Fame Voter Ed Bouchette Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on May 12, 2022 at 6:28 pm

    Long time Steelers writer and current Hall of Fame voter, Ed Bouchette […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49776985/eyetest_ep109.mp3

Section 2

  • Ep 116: Former Buccaneers Head Coach Bruce Arians Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on June 29, 2022 at 3:03 am

    Former Buccaneers head coach Bruce Arians joins Clark and Ira to discuss […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50399545/eyetest_ep116.mp3
  • Ep 115: Gil Brandt Joins The Show To Remember Cowboys RB Don Perkins
    by Full Press Coverage on June 22, 2022 at 3:46 pm

    Pro Football Hall of Famer Gil Brandt joins Clark and Ira to discuss the […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50294360/eyetest_ep115.mp3
  • Ep 114: Former Bengals QB Ken Anderson Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on June 15, 2022 at 5:12 pm

    Former Bengals quarterback and NFL MVP, Ken Anderson, joins Clark and Ira […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50215375/eyetest_ep114.mp3
  • Ep 113: HOF Voter Barry Wilner Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on June 10, 2022 at 6:04 pm

    For AP chief correspondent and current Pro Football Hall of Fame voter, […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50158798/eyetest_ep113.mp3
  • Ep 112: Colts Owner Jim Irsay Joins To Talk "The Jim Irsay Collection"
    by Full Press Coverage on May 31, 2022 at 3:05 pm

    Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay returns to the show to talk with Calrk […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49993148/eyetest_ep112.mp3
  • Ep 111: Joe Horrigan Returns To Remember Vietnam Veteran And Former Bills OT Bob Kalsu
    by Full Press Coverage on May 25, 2022 at 9:25 pm

    As we approach Memorial Day, Joe Horrigan returns to the show to talk to […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49945420/eyetest_ep111.mp3
  • Ep 110: New Playoff Teams In 2022; Best Matchups On NFL Scehdule
    by Full Press Coverage on May 20, 2022 at 3:42 am

    Clark, Ira, and Ian give their four teams that didn't make the NFL […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49869045/eyetest_20220519_1221.mp3
  • Ep 109: Hall of Fame Voter Ed Bouchette Joins The Show
    by Full Press Coverage on May 12, 2022 at 6:28 pm

    Long time Steelers writer and current Hall of Fame voter, Ed Bouchette […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/49776985/eyetest_ep109.mp3

Section

  • Ep 60: #KrejciForever and Raised Expectations
    by Full Press Coverage on May 4, 2021 at 9:23 pm

    Ian and Chris talk about the Bruins post trade deadline turnaround and […]

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  • Ep 59: Bruins Swing Big At Trade Deadline
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    Ian and Chris welcome in Mike Cratty to discuss the trade acquisitions of […]

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  • Ep 58: Chris' Trip To TD Garden, Bruins Trade Target Goes Elsewhere, Injuries, and the Capitals
    by Full Press Coverage on April 8, 2021 at 6:33 pm

    Ian and Chris discuss Blackey's return to the Garden, the Islanders trade […]

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://anchor.fm/s/cc094d0/podcast/play/30997504/https%3A%2F%2Fd3ctxlq1ktw2nl.cloudfront.net%2Fstaging%2F2021-3-8%2Ff5ad8b3a-4858-ae42-2228-24fde2fee0c2.mp3
  • Browns Quarterback Drama; Will Deshaun Watson Be Suspended? Will Baker Mayfield be with the Browns?
    by Full Press Coverage on July 6, 2022 at 1:22 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/BRCM5342808846.mp3?updated=1657114132
  • 7/6 - Kevin Durant, NBA Offseason, Browns QB Drama
    by Full Press Coverage on July 6, 2022 at 1:19 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV8656383953.mp3?updated=1657114086
  • Ep.43: The Bright Future
    by Full Press Coverage on July 6, 2022 at 2:17 am

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV8876569312.mp3?updated=1657074242
  • Ep. 192 - KD Trade Request Dominates NBA Free Agency
    by Full Press Coverage on July 5, 2022 at 9:27 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50474297/pick_7_5.mp3
  • Ep.5: The FCS Scene
    by Full Press Coverage on July 3, 2022 at 5:00 am

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/BRCM2055225762.mp3?updated=1656822865
  • Ep 120: Sting Part Two - Enter The Crow
    by Full Press Coverage on July 2, 2022 at 2:00 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV2372121756.mp3?updated=1656715190
  • 7/1 - Kevin Durant Requests Trade; NBA Offseason Begins With a Bang
    by Full Press Coverage on July 1, 2022 at 6:42 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV8724489625.mp3?updated=1656719148
  • Ep 235: Most Rostered Dynasty Players in 2022
    by Full Press Coverage on June 30, 2022 at 2:03 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV9175937643.mp3?updated=1656774061
  • Early NHL Offseason Predictions
    by Full Press Coverage on June 29, 2022 at 8:00 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/BRCM9088688371.mp3?updated=1656463696
  • Ep 74: Bruce Cassidy Fired; Bergeron Returning?; Bruins Front Office Blame
    by Full Press Coverage on June 29, 2022 at 5:48 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdst.fm/e/chtbl.com/track/G481GD/traffic.megaphone.fm/ADV3835606251.mp3?updated=1656525276
  • 7/6 - Kevin Durant, NBA Offseason, Browns QB Drama
    by Full Press Coverage on July 6, 2022 at 1:19 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50482341/adv9882983409.mp3
  • 7/1 - Kevin Durant Requests Trade; NBA Offseason Begins With a Bang
    by Full Press Coverage on July 1, 2022 at 6:42 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50438143/adv5597107778.mp3
  • 6/29 - Avs Win Stanley Cup; NFL News and Notes
    by Full Press Coverage on June 29, 2022 at 1:56 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50405226/adv1359279834.mp3
  • 6/24 - WSOP; NBA Finals Talk; Stanley Cup Coming To An End; NBA Draft
    by Full Press Coverage on June 24, 2022 at 2:15 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50320062/adv7372792475.mp3
  • 6/15 - Celtics Falter In San Fran, Can They Force A Game 7?
    by Full Press Coverage on June 15, 2022 at 4:23 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50214685/adv1026436700.mp3
  • 6/13 - Goodfellas; Celtics/Warriors, Stanley Cup Final
    by Full Press Coverage on June 13, 2022 at 4:46 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50187700/adv9109014920.mp3
  • Are The Celtics In The Heads Of The Warriors?
    by Full Press Coverage on June 10, 2022 at 5:50 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50158740/fpcradio_6_10_celticswarriors.mp3
  • 6/10 - Jason Alexander; Tom Brady; Celtics/Warriors
    by Full Press Coverage on June 10, 2022 at 2:24 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50155044/adv9832981453.mp3
  • 6/6 - Josh Allen Overhyped? Celtics/Warriors Game Two
    by Full Press Coverage on June 6, 2022 at 2:46 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50086971/adv2030888829.mp3
  • 6/3 - Celtics Take Game One From Golden State
    by Full Press Coverage on June 3, 2022 at 10:46 pm

    Your browser does not support the audio element. But you can check this for the original link: https://pdcn.co/e/api.spreaker.com/download/episode/50056013/adv1632853896.mp3

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