Caesars Palace released its 2020 NFL odds yesterday predicting that the Miami Dolphins will win six games in the 2020 season, finishing last in the AFC East.
According to the latest prediction, Miami’s six wins will trail the New York Jets (6.5), New England Patriots (8.5) and the division-winning Buffalo Bills (9).
What is Caesars Palace?
Caesars Palace is a Las Vegas hotel and casino founded in 1966. Built to resemble life during the Roman Empire, it also has held numerous sporting events in its outdoor arena. It’s most notably known for its boxing matches, followed by its wrestling matches and newly built outdoor ice rink that has seen its fair share of NHL contests. The casino is also famous for numerous updated betting lines throughout many sporting events.
Breaking Down the Released Odds
In its odds release today, it placed four teams with double-digit win predictions, as well as at least nine teams with at least nine wins. Every division except for the AFC South has a team predicted in at least one of those spots, with the AFC North, AFC West and NFC East and NFC South having multiple teams.
Dolphins Six Predicted Wins Are Too Low
Miami’s six projected wins is a bit surprising. While there are arguments for the number being higher or lower, it’s hard to ignore the following:
1) Miami won five games in 2019 despite being severely weak on both sides of the football. A lot of its players came in via trade, free agency and waivers and still managed to put up five wins with a first-year head coach.
2) The Dolphins made the most FA transactions this offseason. With adding 10 new guys to the squad, seven of them came on defense. Miami has a defensive-driven coach that got known-talent instead of risking it in the 2020 NFL Draft. This is a clear upgrade.
3) Miami is now poised to focus on offense more in the draft next week. With already addressing the defensive side of the football for the most part, it has had plenty of time to evaluate sensible moves during the draft by cutting down on needs.
What Could Potentially Hold Miami Back in 2020
While it seems those clarifications bolster the Dolphins’ chances of more wins, some other things are notable that could hurt that further advanced number.
It’s clear Miami needs a quarterback for the future and has a horrendous offensive line. While it’s becoming more and more likely the Dolphins take a QB with their fifth overall pick in next week’s draft, the NFL is in danger of missing all offseason organized team activities (OTAs) due to COVID-19. With so many new faces again in 2020, a team lacking chemistry could find it hard to play a full successful 60-minute game.
Dolphins Working Smarter, Not Harder
While missing OTAs could throw a wrench in the team’s development plans, it’s still hard to agree with Miami finishing last in the AFC East.
It has made more offseason moves than any of its division opponents, also including its coaching staff. Head coach Brian Flores has brought in more personnel to fit his rebuild scheme and while a lot of teams seem to be lingering around, Flores has been rebuilding for 2020 (and the future) since the day after the Dolphins’ 2019 season finale win against the Patriots.