In a group that includes Aaron Rodgers, Matt Stafford, and Patrick Mahomes, which quarterback will win their second Super Bowl?
Tom Brady has returned to try and win his eighth Super Bowl, while Aaron Rodgers continues to be a lightning rod for negativity because he has “only” won one Super Bowl. But is Rodgers really a failure overall because he hasn’t come close to Brady in terms of winning championships?
Realistically, Brady is an outlier, not the true measuring stick of how successful a quarterback’s career is. His achievements are by far ahead of all others. Now that Ben Roethlisberger has retired, only one other NFL quarterback has won more than one Super Bowl. That is Jimmy Garoppolo, who was Brady’s backup in two Super Bowl victories.
Which One of Four Active QBs Will Win a Second Championship?
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Saying a quarterback has “only” won one Super Bowl is a misdirected criticism. Other than Brady, two other active quarterbacks have played in more than one Super Bowl: Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson. Six active quarterbacks other than Brady have one Super Bowl win. That’s a very small group. Some great QBs, such as Dan Marino and Warren Moon, never won a Super Bowl at all. Philip Rivers, like Moon, never even played in one.
Nick Foles and Joe Flacco are two of the six active QBs to win the Super Bowl as starters. So realistically, there are only four current QBs with a legitimate shot to earn a second ring in 2022: Mahomes, Wilson, Rodgers and Matthew Stafford.
So, which current quarterback may be the next to win a second Lombardi Trophy? Many observers overreact when a guy wins it for the first time. When Mahomes and Rodgers won for the first time, we heard talk about how they would gather many more titles. But winning a championship for a second time is truly a monumental achievement for those not named Brady.
Mahomes and Wilson are now in the same division, and Kansas City’s chances seem to be weakened after trading Tyreek Hill. Travis Kelce might also be on the verge of declining. Wilson may indeed prove to be the missing piece to the Denver puzzle. He is surrounded by several young and promising playmakers and the Broncos defense should be better than Kansas City’s this season.
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It’s not going to be an easy path for either Mahomes or Wilson to make it to a third Super Bowl, though. In their own division, the Chargers are on the rise, and Justin Herbert is aiming to play in his first Super Bowl. The Chargers defense is looking strong after an impressive offseason of acquisitions and could prevent both Mahomes and Wilson from getting past the AFC Championship Game.
Of course, there is also the matter of the Bills being a significant favorite in the AFC. They look like the best team in the conference in terms of personnel on both sides of the ball. Josh Allen may win his first Super Bowl before any other quarterback gets a chance to do so a second time. Cincinnati should also not be counted out to take a second consecutive AFC Championship.
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Will Matthew Stafford Actually Win A Second Straight Title?
The road to Glendale may be less crowded in the NFC. Brady is back, though, and he should always be a favorite to win his second Super Bowl title with Tampa Bay. After losing Davante Adams, it seems that Rodgers’ chances to get back to the league title game have taken a big hit. But the Green Bay defense is one of the best in the conference and the Packers are well-coached, so they will certainly be in the NFC Championship mix.
Stafford should have a good shot to repeat as a champion. The Rams did lose Von Miller and Robert Woods, but they added Bobby Wagner and Allen Robinson. Los Angeles’ roster has not been as pilfered by other teams as some others were after winning a Super Bowl. But history is indeed against the Rams. The 2004 Patriots were the last team to win consecutive championships.
Heading into the 2022 season, the Rams may appear to have a very good shot of repeating as Super Bowl champions. But the mistake of basing predictions on last year has been made too often in a league that is known for parity and revolving trends and contenders. Only four QBs have an opportunity to win a second Super Bowl this season, and that number may increase to five after the upcoming campaign. We could conceivably see Allen win two Super Bowls before Mahomes, Wilson, Rodgers Stafford get another opportunity to take a second trophy.
Here is how we rank the four quarterbacks with the chances to win a second Super Bowl in 2022.
- Matthew Stafford – Los Angeles still looks very strong on both sides of the ball.
- Russell Wilson – Earlier in his career, he was a final piece needed to put a team on a championship track. It looks like he could be headed on a similar path as a more accomplished QB a decade later.
- Patrick Mahomes – Losing Hill hurts, but until proven otherwise, the road to the AFC title goes through Kansas City.
- Aaron Rodgers – The NFC title jinx may continue, but he has still won one Super Bowl, and most other starting QBs have not.
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