Josh Allen is going to be a divisive topic as draft season heats up. The anonymous scouts will be buzzing about the high upside, or the huge floor of the Junior from Wyoming. While everyone will have their opinion, the risk seems to outweigh the reward when it comes to taking a swing on him high in the NFL draft.
Boom
Josh Allen brings the wow plays. This is what makes him a potential NFL prospect. Physically he has it all. He is expected to enter the NFL combine at about 6’5″, 235. When it is put together, it is impressive. Below, he uses mobility, and arm strength to throw a dart about 40 yards down the field, on the run, for a touchdown.
His mobility and athleticism buy him time to make this pass. His arm bails him out of having to set his feet as he quickly fires a strike about 30 yards down the field to move the chains on third down. The physical tools are there.
This is a pass that would be ill-advised for most. He is going from the college hash mark to the sideline. That ball traveled about 50 yards in the air. But, Allen threw a strike, high, where only his wide receiver could catch it. It takes ridiculous physical attributes to do this.
On top of that, he has the mobility make plays with his feet. When pressure breaks the play down, he can turn something from nothing. You can also design runs, and draw up read options for him to keep defenses honest.
Bust
However, the biggest issue with Allen coming into the NFL draft is going to be his accuracy and mechanics. His 56% completion percentage is telling, but stats in college never tell the whole story. The rest of the story says trust the stats when it comes to Josh Allen’s accuracy, though.
Below is a similar pass to the completion above. From the outside hash to the sideline, he misses a pass that is so off that his receiver doesn’t even need to try for it.
On a third and three he has his receiver with space towards the sideline. The pass is way behind the pass catcher and falls incomplete.
First and ten quickly turns into second and ten when Allen misses his man high.
This one really hurts. A simple pass to an open man next to him missed high.
-
Ep 103: Tom Brady Retires, Sean Payton To Broncos, Super Bowl Primer
by Full Press Coverage on February 5, 2023 at 3:49 pm
This third down pass should have been intercepted. Allen is throwing into double coverage with sloppy mechanics on a pass that has no chance at all. On this third down it looks as though he processing things too fast. If the game is not going to slow down against Utah State, do we really think it will slow down when he is diagnosing coverages in the NFL?
A lot of his misses have to do with rushed footwork and delivery mechanics. Look how wide spread his feet are when he releases on the play above. When it makes the highlights we applaud it. On third and six and staring down the blitz it is heart breaking. Watch his foot work and what he puts behind this third down incompletion. No wonder it was so inaccurate.
The easy misses can be forgiven by game changing completions down the field. However, the pocket presence of Allen makes him an even bigger project.
Below, Allen stands in and does not even notice as the pressure takes him to the ground.
This play against Air Force is ugly. He just stands still for a second. That is going to going to get him hurt in the NFL. He is staring down a wide receiver before even noticing a linebacker is breathing down his neck for an easy sack.
This last play is just bizarre. Allen is doing what he does, extending plays and making defenders miss. However, on a pass that looks like it is being thrown away, he throws an interception to a spot where there is only a defender. These are the ugly down falls that are associated with betting on that upside with Josh Allen.
Verdict
There are two ways to look at it. When the play breaks down, and when the worst happens, Allen is ready. That is usually his best chance to excel. Some are going to have the opinion that by “letting him do what he does” he will be able to succeed in the NFL.
However, the fact of the matter is that Allen struggles with the basics. Not every play is going to be a 40-yard heave down the field off his back foot after escaping the pocket. If he is not going to be accurate, or show the ability to make reads down the field or against the blitz it is going to be a longer project than any fan base is willing to give the time to invest in. For Josh Allen, the bust potential outweighs the boom.
– Parker Hurley is Pittsburgh Steelers team manager of Full Press Coverage. Like and follow on Follow @parkerhurley Follow @FPC_Steelers and Facebook.
-
Ep 142: Former Washington Quarterback And Super Bowl Champion Doug Williams Joins The Showby Full Press Coverage on February 3, 2023 at 10:19 pm
Former Washington quarterback and Super Bowl champion Doug Williams joins […]
-
Ep 141: Andy Reid, Eagles, And Conference Championship Weekend w/ Joe Bannerby Full Press Coverage on January 27, 2023 at 5:36 pm
Clark and Ira are joined by former Eagles President Joe Banner to talk […]
-
Ep 137: Hall Of Fame Discussion w/ John Turneyby Full Press Coverage on December 30, 2022 at 5:33 pm
Football historian John Turney of Pro Football Journal joins Clark and Ira […]
-
Ep 136: Remembering The Longest Game Ever Played With Larry Littleby Full Press Coverage on December 24, 2022 at 1:09 am
On the 51-year anniversary of the longest game ever played (Chiefs vs. […]
-
Ep 135: Hall of Fame Semifinalist Jahri Evans Joins The Showby Full Press Coverage on December 16, 2022 at 3:51 pm
Former Saints guard and 2023 HOF Semifinalist Jahri Evans joins Clark and […]
-
Ep 134: Remember AFL/NFL Star John Hadl with Nick Canepaby Full Press Coverage on December 8, 2022 at 2:39 pm
Former Hall of Fame voter, Nick Canepa, joins Clark and Ira to discuss the […]
-
Ep 133: Hall Of Fame Semifinalist Henry Ellard Joins The Showby Full Press Coverage on November 30, 2022 at 4:28 pm
Former Rams and Redskins wide receiver, Henry Ellard, joins Clark and Ira […]
-
Ep 132: Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2023 Semifinalists w/ Rick Gosselinby Full Press Coverage on November 22, 2022 at 6:15 pm
Clark and Ira are joined by Pro Football Hall of Fame voter Rick Gosselin […]
-
Ep 131: 'Football Heaven' With PFHOF Senior Advisor Joe Horriganby Full Press Coverage on November 17, 2022 at 5:55 pm
Pro Football Hall of Fame Senior Advisor, Joe Horrigan, joins Clark and […]
-
Ep 130: Remembering John McVay With Hall of Famer Eddie DeBartolo Jr.by Full Press Coverage on November 13, 2022 at 1:42 am
Clark and Ira are joined by Hall of Fame owner Eddie DeBartolo Jr. to […]
-
Ep 271: NFL Championship Roundby Full Press Coverage on January 26, 2023 at 1:58 pm
-
Ep 270: NFL Divisional Roundby Full Press Coverage on January 19, 2023 at 1:31 am
-
Ep 269: NFL Playoff Previewby Full Press Coverage on January 12, 2023 at 4:13 am
-
Ep 268: Week 16 Fantasy Rankingsby Full Press Coverage on December 21, 2022 at 9:45 pm
-
(Episode 3.2) Offseason Talk with the "Command This!" Podcastby Full Press Coverage on February 1, 2023 at 3:04 am
George Carmi hosts Steve, Dev, and Phil as they discuss the Commanders […]
-
Ep 167: Super Bowl LVII Previewby Full Press Coverage on February 1, 2023 at 12:33 am
This season premiere featured a preview of the NFL's season finale. In […]
-
2/3 - Tom Brady Retires... For Goodby Full Press Coverage on February 3, 2023 at 2:20 pm
Ian and John react to Tom Brady's second, and likely final, retirement. […]
-
1/31 - Tom Brady and the 49ers, Aaron Rodgers Futureby Full Press Coverage on January 31, 2023 at 9:00 am
Ian and John discuss whether or not the 49ers loss in the NFC Championship […]
-
1/30 - Conference Championship Recap: Eagles, Chiefs Advanceby Full Press Coverage on January 30, 2023 at 10:35 am
Ian and John recap the Eagles and Chiefs victories on Conference […]
-
1/27 - Conference Championship Preview: Who is Going To The Super Bowl?by Full Press Coverage on January 27, 2023 at 9:50 am
Ian and John preview Conference Championship Weekend and give their picks […]
-
Talkamania Episode 230by Talkamania on September 6, 2022 at 11:43 pm
-
Talkamania Episode 229by Talkamania on August 5, 2022 at 3:37 am
-
Boot 2 The Face Episode 211 "Steel Reserve"by Boot 2 The Face on January 28, 2023 at 6:59 pm
We preview the Royal Rumble and other things in the week of pro wreslting. […]
-
Boot 2 The Face Episode 210 "No Monè, No Monè, No Monè"by Boot 2 The Face on January 19, 2023 at 12:55 am
Rucker and EJ are back discussing Rucker going to Impacts Hard to Kill […]
-
Ep. 92: Lamar University Head Baseball Coach Will Davisby Full Press Coverage on February 6, 2023 at 6:00 am
-
Kings at Pelicansby Broken Controller Media on February 5, 2023 at 8:00 pm
-
Nuggets at Timberwolvesby Broken Controller Media on February 5, 2023 at 7:15 pm
-
Raptors at Grizzliesby Broken Controller Media on February 5, 2023 at 6:30 pm
-
76ers at Knicksby Broken Controller Media on February 5, 2023 at 5:30 pm
-
Cavaliers at Pacersby Broken Controller Media on February 5, 2023 at 4:30 pm
-
Ep 103: Tom Brady Retires, Sean Payton To Broncos, Super Bowl Primerby Full Press Coverage on February 5, 2023 at 3:49 pm
-
Magic at Hornetsby Broken Controller Media on February 5, 2023 at 3:30 pm
-
Hawks at Nuggetsby Broken Controller Media on February 4, 2023 at 10:00 pm
-
Mavericks at Warriorsby Broken Controller Media on February 4, 2023 at 9:00 pm
-
1/6 - Damar Hamlin Update, Bills/Bengals, AFC Playoffs, Week 18 Picksby Full Press Coverage on January 6, 2023 at 3:11 pm
-
Winter Classic: Bruins Rally To Beat Penguins At Fenwayby Full Press Coverage on January 4, 2023 at 2:09 am
-
1/3 - Bills/Bengals Postponed; Bruins Topple Penguins In Winter Classicby Full Press Coverage on January 4, 2023 at 2:05 am
-
1/2 - Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Week 17, Bills/Bengalsby Full Press Coverage on January 3, 2023 at 3:22 am
-
12/30 - New Year's Eve, Luka Doncic, NBA Talk, Week 17 Preview and Picksby Full Press Coverage on January 1, 2023 at 2:29 am
-
Aaron Rodgers, Packers Win Third Straight; Playoffs In Sightby Full Press Coverage on December 27, 2022 at 7:36 pm