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As we look ahead to Week 10 of the 2023 NFL schedule, we have plenty of matchups that are intriguing. Some teams are heavily favored to dominate their opponent this week. Meanwhile, there are still a few potential upsets that cannot be ruled out.
In terms of betting, there are a plethora of exciting options. This is true of both moneyline and spread picks. Plus, we are going to have some advantageous options to choose from for individual players. Which teams hold some betting value as either the favorite or as an underdog?
It is time to list my favorite plays of the week, with my favorite bets for teams with either the moneyline or the spread. To boot, I will also list a few player props that stand out for Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season. Let’s kick it off.
Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
Best Bets: Moneyline
Of course, we are not going to list every team for the moneyline category. It is also important to note that we are looking to list the bets that hold the most potential value out of our given options. With that in mind, here are three teams that I like to win straight up in Week 10, who also hold a fair amount of betting value.
Jacksonville Jaguars: +142 Odds
Both the San Francisco 49ers and the Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off of a bye week entering their matchup. The 49ers are attempting to stop a three-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Jaguars currently have the NFL’s longest winning streak at five games. San Francisco may be a dangerous team and is still considered a top contender in the NFC. And a lot of attention has gone to Brock Purdy‘s turnovers. But quite frankly, this San Francisco defense is not living up to their standard, whatsoever. With Trevor Lawrence dealing and Travis Etienne enjoying a fine season, I like the Jaguars to edge out the 49ers, due to the dangerous Jacksonville offense.
Minnesota Vikings: +124 Odds
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This mini upset of the Minnesota Vikings topping the New Orleans Saints is something that I am confident in. Minnesota is a defense that I did not expect much of this season. But under new defensive coordinator Brian Flores, the secondary is consistently clamping down opponents and making plays on the football. Moreover, this pass rush and the amount of extra pressure they bring is daunting. That is especially true for someone as shaky as Derek Carr. With Carr facing this defense and New Orleans still being an up-and-down team week to week, give me the Vikings as slight underdogs to keep this run rolling.
Arizona Cardinals: +105 Odds
Some people may not want to touch the Arizona Cardinals at all. However, the Atlanta Falcons are reeling more now than they have been all season. Kyler Murray has officially been announced as the starting quarterback, making his return after suffering a torn ACL late last season. The excitement and juice that he could bring is something that could put immediate pressure on Atlanta. And with the Falcons defense, they are starting to give up more explosive plays than they were earlier this year. I continue to believe in picking against Atlanta, until they show more competence.
Best Bets: Spread
Betting on teams to cover the spread is not always about taking someone who you feel should easily cover, whether that is the favorite or the underdog. However, finding teams that play hard or matchups that have historically been close are key. Finding the number that you believe is possibly too low or too high is also key. You can then thread the needle on either side of the betting odds with whoever you believe holds the better betting value. Here are three teams that offer fair betting value in Week 10, when looking at the spread.
Baltimore Ravens: -6.5 vs Cleveland Browns
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The Baltimore Ravens have won four in a row. More importantly, they are at home again this week. Baltimore has outscored opponents 119-40 at home this season. That includes two dominant wins over NFC contenders like the Detroit Lions and the Seattle Seahawks. The Ravens won by at least 30 points in each of those contests. Division games can sometimes be tighter than other matchups. To boot, Cleveland is still a dangerous defense and has been very competitive all year long. It is just hard to think that the Ravens do not win by at least a touchdown at home, once again.
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Pittsburgh Steelers: -3 vs Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers got back on track with a win last week. The good news? Last week’s victory over the Los Angeles Rams ended a four-game losing streak for Green Bay. The bad news? The Packers offense could not have looked less inspiring in a victory. We know the Pittsburgh Steelers can make it incredibly difficult on themselves. But given the slight adjustments made by Pittsburgh last week, plus their experience level, should give them a great upper hand on Green Bay. This could always be ugly from the Steelers. Though, I do not feel like this game should be relatively close at the end on the scoreboard, when it is all said and done. Take the smaller number and run.
Buffalo Bills: -7 vs Denver Broncos
Anyone that knows me, knows how I feel about the Buffalo Bills and their outlook this season. I generally do not have much belief in them. Yet, this is a gamble that I am willing to take in a Monday Night Football matchup. Buffalo being at home makes this way different for a team like the Denver Broncos. Denver has started to play better, especially on defense. There is a great sense that the Broncos are unable to continue their improved stretch, however, falling under the spotlight. With the Bills in desperation mode, so to speak, I think they can finally cover against the spread and win by a little over a touchdown.
Favorite Player Props
Player prop bets can sometimes be tricky to find the perfect betting value. Some star players do not consistently produce at a high clip. Nevertheless, here are four player prop bets that I enjoy for the tenth weekend of NFL action.
Jaylen Warren: Over 33.5 Rushing Yards
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The more Jaylen Warren is involved, the more success that the Steelers have on offense. Last week, he had his best rushing performance of the season. He tallied 88 rushing yards on just 11 carries against the Tennessee Titans. Warren is averaging just under five yards per carry this year. If he continues to get more carries, this number is very attainable against a Packers defense that has struggled to stop the run in what feels like a century.
Kenneth Walker III: Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
Kenneth Walker III has quietly been one of the more consistent running backs since entering the league. Overall, Walker III has registered at least 62 rushing yards or more in six of his eight games this season. So hovering around this figure and topping it has been something that you can seemingly guarantee for Walker III. Outside of the last two games, he has also received double-digit carries. Seattle may get back to feeding him more often in a matchup that they can control at home.
Chigoziem Okonkwo: Over 30.5 Receiving Yards
In the two games in which Will Levis has started, tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo has received nine targets and has hauled in seven of those. The yards can always be a bit hit or miss with tight ends. Though, Tennessee has been able to push the ball more with Levis starting. Okonkwo has been a safety blanket for the quarterback when the play breaks down, on top of that. Tampa Bay has also allowed the second most passing yards this season. As long as he continues to get a few catches each game, Okonkwo is worth the gamble in this category.
Marquise Brown: Over 53.5 Receiving Yards
As mentioned earlier, Kyler Murray is returning this Sunday for the Cardinals. This leads to immediate attention for wide receiver Marquise Brown. Brown has continued to receive a decent amount of catches. But recently, his catches have resulted in few yards per grab. That could quickly change with Murray returning. Arizona may be able to find more success in the intermediate to deep passing game with this passer back in the fold. Moreover, Murray may look to target Brown as often as possible.
Be on the lookout for more FPC NFL betting articles throughout this 2023 NFL season. For more great sports and NFL content, stay tuned to Full Press Coverage.
– Braden Holecek is the Kansas City Chiefs managing editor for Full Press Coverage. He covers the NFL. Like and follow on Follow @ebearcat9//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Follow @FPC_Chiefs//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js and Facebook.