Two weeks into the NFL season, we have reached the point where everyone is either a Super Bowl contender or apparently needs to start scouting next year’s draft. There is very little room for anything in between. The Raiders are undefeated, the Texans are searching for the end zone, and the Bears followed a 59-point performance by scoring three. If your preseason predictions have already started looking suspicious, you have plenty of company.
After preaching patience in last week’s power rankings, we have a few corrections to make. Seattle and Buffalo remain at the top, San Francisco keeps climbing, and Las Vegas and New Orleans have earned considerably more respect. This week, we’re giving all 32 teams an overreaction to accompany their ranking—because two games might be too small a sample to settle anything, but they’re more than enough to start an argument. Let us know which team we’ve bought into too quickly and which one still deserves an apology.
NFL Power Rankings
Miami Dolphins
0-2The Dolphins are already on the clock. A 35–13 loss to San Francisco leaves Miami with two decisive defeats. Somebody has to occupy the basement, and the Dolphins have supplied the least persuasive argument to leave it.
Atlanta Falcons
0-2Atlanta’s offense has entered power-saving mode. Losing 34–3 to Carolina is a particularly rough follow-up to the opening defeat. The Falcons need something much more convincing than assurances that it is still early.
Washington Commanders
0-2September has become a survival drill. Jayden Daniels’ elbow injury against Dallas compounds an already difficult start. This drop reflects uncertainty at the most important position as well as the results.
Tennessee Titans
0-2Tennessee is dangerous until the closing credits. The Titans were close enough to make Philadelphia need a last-second escape. That keeps them ahead of the bottom three, but eventually competitive football has to produce a win.
Cleveland Browns
1-1Cleveland would like to return the wooden spoon. The 23–19 victory in Tampa Bay gets the Browns out of the basement. We can acknowledge a substantial improvement without turning one win into a playoff forecast.
Los Angeles Chargers
0-2The Chargers are trapped in a 26–14 time loop. Same score, different opponent: Las Vegas followed Arizona’s lead. Two losses against teams we ranked below them make this a much harder start to excuse.
Indianapolis Colts
0-2Indianapolis leads the league in painful almosts. Taking Kansas City to overtime was considerably more encouraging than the opener. It earns a small improvement here, even if the standings remain thoroughly unimpressed.
New York Jets
1-1The Jets need a penalty box. A staggering 156 penalty yards against Green Bay helped turn an opportunity into a loss. They move up one spot because enough teams below them found even more troubling ways to spend Sunday.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-2September has already become a must-win month. The 23–19 loss to Cleveland is harder to rationalize than the opening defeat in Cincinnati. Tampa Bay still has recovery time, but the reasons for optimism need to become visible.
Carolina Panthers
1-1Carolina completed a rebuild in seven days. After allowing 59 in the opener, the Panthers beat Atlanta 34–3. That is enough emotional whiplash for a full season. A meaningful rebound earns seven spots.
Arizona Cardinals
1-1Week 1 was a free trial. Seattle delivered a 31–7 reminder of the divisional standard. Arizona keeps some credit for its opening win, but the enormous first-week jump needs trimming.
New York Giants
1-1Week 1 optimism came with a very short warranty. The 28–6 loss and Jaxson Dart’s early knee injury changed the outlook quickly. The uncertainty at quarterback matters more than any grand conclusion about the entire roster.
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1The offense is running on airplane mode. Three points in New England makes the opening victory over Atlanta harder to celebrate. Pittsburgh needs evidence that its offense can do more than survive favorable matchups.
Houston Texans
0-2Touchdowns are apparently sold separately. Houston failed to reach the end zone against Cincinnati. The competitive opening loss bought some patience. Following it with six points uses up a substantial portion of that credit.
Chicago Bears
1-1The offense spent September’s points in one afternoon. From 59 points to three is an impressive demonstration of why Week 1 conclusions expire. Caleb Williams’ hamstring uncertainty makes it harder to treat Sunday as an isolated bad game.
Green Bay Packers
1-1Style points have been abolished. The 20–17 overtime win over the Jets was messy and necessary. Rallying late earns credit. Needing that rally keeps the promotion modest.
Detroit Lions
1-1Every Lions game will require a calculator. Scoring 31 should give you a chance; allowing Buffalo to score 41 explains why it wasn’t enough. Detroit stays put while we wait for the defense to make life easier.
New Orleans Saints
1-1Tyler Shough just opened the NFC South for business. A late winning touchdown in Baltimore, following a one-point loss in Detroit, gives New Orleans a better two-game résumé than its old ranking suggested. Eight places feels earned.
Dallas Cowboys
1-1The Super Bowl plans have been un-canceled. Dak Prescott’s four touchdown passes against Washington supplied the response Dallas needed. One good afternoon gets the Cowboys back into the conversation. It doesn’t delete the Giants game.
Las Vegas Raiders
2-0Kirk Cousins is the Strip’s newest must-see attraction. The 26–14 win over the Chargers gives this start more substance. Two comfortable wins earn a major jump; the schedule still leaves room for questions about their ceiling.
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-1The Cleveland game was misleading advertising. The offense managed 13 points against Denver after cruising in the opener. This is a correction for an uneven start, with the Broncos now getting the head-to-head edge.
Denver Broncos
1-1The preseason Broncos finally checked in. A 20–13 comeback win over Jacksonville earns back some credibility. Denver moves above the team it just beat, with more work required before we restore that preseason top-five billing.
Minnesota Vikings
2-0The NFC North now requires a punting license. The 9–3 win over Chicago made it two divisional victories. Minnesota has already shown it can survive very different kinds of games. Ugly wins still count.
Los Angeles Rams
1-1Stafford and Adams found the fast-forward button. Matthew Stafford threw four touchdowns and Davante Adams had 195 receiving yards in the 28–6 Monday night win. That’s a rebound, although beating a Giants team dealing with injuries doesn’t erase Week 1.
Baltimore Ravens
1-1Every Ravens lead now comes with a warning label. Letting New Orleans rally for a 24–17 win in Baltimore deserves a substantial correction. The talent keeps the Ravens high. Finishing games would help keep them there.
New England Patriots
1-1The defense should collect the offense’s paycheck. Holding Pittsburgh to three points restored order. New England slips because unbeaten teams climbed past it; the offense still has to contribute more consistently.
Philadelphia Eagles
2-0Being undefeated means never having to explain yourself. The Eagles needed a last-minute touchdown drive to beat Tennessee. They keep winning, but other contenders are giving us more convincing reasons to move them up.
Cincinnati Bengals
2-0Cincinnati is a defensive team now. Holding Houston without a touchdown in a 20–6 road win is the kind of result that changes expectations. Winning without needing a shootout is a promising development.
Kansas City Chiefs
2-0Overtime is just Kansas City’s victory lap. The 33–30 escape against Indianapolis wasn’t a defensive masterpiece. With Patrick Mahomes keeping the offense rolling, though, the Chiefs are rebuilding their case as an AFC heavyweight.
San Francisco 49ers
2-0The NFC West has two final bosses. Following the Rams demolition with a 35–13 win over Miami earns another promotion. San Francisco is giving Seattle a very real argument at the top.
Buffalo Bills
2-0The MVP ballot is already printed. Josh Allen accounted for five touchdowns against Detroit. Buffalo’s offense looks ready for January; allowing another 31 points leaves the defense with homework.
Seattle Seahawks
2-0Seattle has made the quarterback position optional. A 31–7 win with Drew Lock starting is a pretty convincing argument for the strength of the entire roster. The champs keep the top spot.
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