One week should never erase everything we believed about an NFL team coming into the season. It should, however, force us to reconsider a few things. Week 1 did exactly that. Some preseason contenders immediately looked the part, others gave us reasons for concern, and a handful of teams we had buried near the bottom of the rankings made it very clear that we may have underestimated them.
That means movement—but not chaos. San Francisco’s dominant win over the Rams deserves considerably more weight than simply checking the 1-0 box, while close losses by teams such as New England and Houston shouldn’t automatically send them tumbling. The goal of these rankings remains the same: balance what we believed entering the season with what the teams are actually showing us on the field. After one revealing weekend, the picture already looks quite a bit different.
Losing 34-10 in Jacksonville validates virtually every concern we had entering the year. They didn't earn a promotion; Cleveland simply earned the basement more emphatically. Fifty-nine points. That's really all the explanation needed. Losing 23-10 at home to a Jets team we had No. 29 is not encouraging. Competitive with Pittsburgh but couldn't generate enough offense. Small move. Baltimore outgained them 506-251. There weren't many positives to spin from that. A clean 23-10 road win is enough to get Geno Smith and the Jets out of the bottom four. This was better than a No. 25 performance. They pushed Philadelphia to 24-22, but I want another week before moving them significantly. Comfortable 27-13 win. Miami isn't much of a measuring stick, so no giant leap yet. A one-point loss at Detroit actually reinforced the idea that New Orleans may be more competitive than expected. Losing at home 26-14 to our preseason No. 30 team is one of Week 1's biggest negatives. Weird game—they generated 419 yards—but blowing the game open in the wrong direction during the fourth quarter is concerning. This one deserves punishment. Dallas was outgained 394-244 and looked considerably worse than the Giants. A six-point road loss to Cincinnati doesn't change my opinion much Not spectacular, but a professional 20-13 win. Pittsburgh gets a modest bump. The other massive riser. A 26-14 road win over the Chargers demands we admit No. 30 was probably too low. They won, but needing everything they had to escape New Orleans 31-30 is not a top-10 statement. Jaxson Dart was excellent: 230 yards, three TDs, no picks. Beating Dallas 28-20 wasn't fluky. A preseason top-five team getting handled by a division rival requires a correction. One of the bigger positive surprises. Minnesota turned a 22-10 deficit into a 39-22 win over Green Bay. I'm actually encouraged. Houston went toe-to-toe with Buffalo and had a chance late. A quality loss matters here. You can't stay near No. 2 after getting beaten 27-7. Still too much talent to bury them after one game. Fifty-nine points gets your attention regardless of opponent. I'm not going crazy yet because it was Carolina. Exactly what a good team should do to Cleveland: 34-10 and never really threatened. Mahomes is back, Kenneth Walker has exploded and KC looks much more like KC again. Tampa pushed them, but Cincinnati scored 33 and handled a decent opponent. Three Drake Maye interceptions killed them, but losing 13-10 at Seattle isn't evidence that New England suddenly stinks. Biggest mover. Beating our No. 2 Rams 27-7 is far more meaningful than beating a bottom-five opponent. Washington made them work for it, but Philadelphia still produced the 24-22 win. No reason to punish them for surviving. 506 yards, 41 points. Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry demolished Indianapolis. Big statement. Going into Houston and winning 36-31 is one of the better Week 1 wins. Josh Allen looked like Josh Allen. It wasn't dominant, but the champs beat our No. 3 team. They keep the throne. Loading team data… Loading team data…NFL Power Rankings
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